Austin EkelerorSeth McGowan?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Austin Ekeler
Austin Ekeler outscores Seth McGowan in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Seth McGowan comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Austin Ekeler, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 3.2 half-PPR points in Week 9. Seth McGowan has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (17% more than average to RBs); Austin Ekeler faces the Los Angeles Rams (12% fewer than average to RBs). Austin Ekeler still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.1
- Median
- 2.8
- Ceiling
- 5.7
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 92%
- Floor
- 0.9
- Median
- 2.7
- Ceiling
- 6.1
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 89%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Austin EkelerRB, WAS, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Seth McGowanRB, IND, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 3.2 | 3.2 |
| PPR projection | 3.7 | 3.4 |
| Standard projection | 2.8 | 2.9 |
| Rank this week | RB51 | RB53 |
| Matchup | vs LAR | vs DAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 3.4 | 2.4 |
| Last season per game | 5.3 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 33% | 25% |
| Trade value | — | — |