Corey KinerorIsaiah Davis?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Corey Kiner
Corey Kiner outscores Isaiah Davis in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Isaiah Davis comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Corey Kiner, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Isaiah Davis projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Corey Kiner has the better matchup against the Green Bay Packers (6% more than average to RBs); Isaiah Davis faces the Kansas City Chiefs (13% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.6
- Median
- 2.2
- Ceiling
- 5.2
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 94%
- Floor
- 0.2
- Median
- 1.8
- Ceiling
- 6.3
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 89%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Corey KinerRB, NE, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET | Isaiah DavisRB, NYJ, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 2.6 | 2.7 |
| PPR projection | 2.8 | 3.2 |
| Standard projection | 2.4 | 2.3 |
| Rank this week | RB56 | RB54 |
| Matchup | vs GB | at KC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 2.4 | 2.0 |
| Last season per game | 2.1 | 3.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 18% | 17% |
| Trade value | — | — |