Corey KinerorRay Davis?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Corey Kiner
Corey Kiner outscores Ray Davis in 59% of simulations.
Ray Davis still comes out ahead in the other 41%, so Corey Kiner is the better bet, not a sure thing. Corey Kiner projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Corey Kiner has the better matchup against the Green Bay Packers (6% more than average to RBs); Ray Davis faces the Minnesota Vikings (12% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.6
- Median
- 2.2
- Ceiling
- 5.2
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 94%
- Floor
- 0.1
- Median
- 1.4
- Ceiling
- 6.0
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 90%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Corey KinerRB, NE, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET | Ray DavisRB, BUF, Mon, Nov 9, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 2.6 | 2.4 |
| PPR projection | 2.8 | 2.6 |
| Standard projection | 2.4 | 2.1 |
| Rank this week | RB56 | RB58 |
| Matchup | vs GB | at MIN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| Last season per game | 2.1 | 3.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 18% | 21% |
| Trade value | — | — |