DeeJay DallasorEvan Hull?

Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Start Evan Hull

Evan Hull outscores DeeJay Dallas in 65% of simulations.

DeeJay Dallas still comes out ahead in the other 35%, so Evan Hull is the better bet, not a sure thing. Evan Hull projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. DeeJay Dallas has the better matchup against the Buffalo Bills (14% more than average to RBs); Evan Hull faces the Seattle Seahawks (11% fewer than average to RBs). Evan Hull still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Evan Hull wins 59%.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

DeeJay Dallas
Floor
0.1
Median
0.5
Ceiling
1.6
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
>99%
Evan Hull
Floor
0.3
Median
0.8
Ceiling
1.6
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
>99%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatDeeJay DallasRB, MIN, Mon, Nov 9, 8:15 p.m. ETEvan HullRB, ARI, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection0.70.9
PPR projection0.91.0
Standard projection0.60.8
Rank this weekRB73RB71
Matchupvs BUFat SEA
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game1.0—
Last season per game0.41.0
Snap share, last game32%—
Trade value——