DJ GiddensorRay Davis?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start DJ Giddens
DJ Giddens outscores Ray Davis in 60% of simulations.
Ray Davis still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so DJ Giddens is the better bet, not a sure thing. DJ Giddens projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. DJ Giddens has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (17% more than average to RBs); Ray Davis faces the Minnesota Vikings (12% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.8
- Median
- 2.1
- Ceiling
- 4.6
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 97%
- Floor
- 0.1
- Median
- 1.4
- Ceiling
- 6.0
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 90%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | DJ GiddensRB, IND, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Ray DavisRB, BUF, Mon, Nov 9, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 2.5 | 2.4 |
| PPR projection | 2.5 | 2.6 |
| Standard projection | 2.5 | 2.1 |
| Rank this week | RB57 | RB58 |
| Matchup | vs DAL | at MIN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.3 | 1.6 |
| Last season per game | 1.9 | 3.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 13% | 21% |
| Trade value | — | — |