DJ GiddensorRoschon Johnson?

Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Start DJ Giddens

DJ Giddens outscores Roschon Johnson in 56% of simulations.

Roschon Johnson still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so DJ Giddens is the better bet, not a sure thing. Roschon Johnson projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. DJ Giddens has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (17% more than average to RBs); Roschon Johnson faces the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (13% fewer than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, DJ Giddens wins 62%.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

DJ Giddens
Floor
0.8
Median
2.1
Ceiling
4.6
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
97%
Roschon Johnson
Floor
0.2
Median
1.7
Ceiling
6.1
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
89%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatDJ GiddensRB, IND, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ETRoschon JohnsonRB, CHI, Sun, Nov 8, 8:20 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection2.52.6
PPR projection2.53.0
Standard projection2.52.2
Rank this weekRB57RB55
Matchupvs DALvs TB
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game4.34.6
Last season per game1.90.3
Snap share, last game13%20%
Trade value——