DJ HermanorEvan Hull?

Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Start DJ Herman

DJ Herman outscores Evan Hull in 55% of simulations.

Evan Hull still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so DJ Herman is the better bet, not a sure thing. DJ Herman projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: DJ Herman faces the Detroit Lions (15% fewer than average to RBs), Evan Hull faces the Seattle Seahawks (11% fewer than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Evan Hull is the pick at 50%.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

DJ Herman
Floor
0.3
Median
0.9
Ceiling
1.8
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
>99%
Evan Hull
Floor
0.3
Median
0.8
Ceiling
1.6
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
>99%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatDJ HermanRB, MIA, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ETEvan HullRB, ARI, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection1.00.9
PPR projection1.21.0
Standard projection0.80.8
Rank this weekRB70RB71
Matchupvs DETat SEA
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game1.1—
Last season per game—1.0
Snap share, last game37%—
Trade value——