Hunter LuepkeorLan Larison?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Lan Larison
Lan Larison outscores Hunter Luepke in 58% of simulations.
Hunter Luepke still comes out ahead in the other 42%, so Lan Larison is the better bet, not a sure thing. Hunter Luepke projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Lan Larison faces the Green Bay Packers (6% more than average to RBs), Hunter Luepke faces the Indianapolis Colts (3% more than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.1
- Median
- 0.9
- Ceiling
- 3.1
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 99%
- Floor
- 0.4
- Median
- 1.1
- Ceiling
- 2.2
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- >99%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Hunter LuepkeRB, DAL, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Lan LarisonRB, NE, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| PPR projection | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| Standard projection | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| Rank this week | RB65 | RB66 |
| Matchup | at IND | vs GB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Last season per game | 2.2 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 23% | 8% |
| Trade value | — | — |