Isaiah DavisorRoschon Johnson?

Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Lean Isaiah Davis

Isaiah Davis outscores Roschon Johnson in 52% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Roschon Johnson comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Isaiah Davis, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Isaiah Davis projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: Isaiah Davis faces the Kansas City Chiefs (13% fewer than average to RBs), Roschon Johnson faces the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (13% fewer than average to RBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Isaiah Davis
Floor
0.2
Median
1.8
Ceiling
6.3
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
89%
Roschon Johnson
Floor
0.2
Median
1.7
Ceiling
6.1
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
89%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatIsaiah DavisRB, NYJ, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ETRoschon JohnsonRB, CHI, Sun, Nov 8, 8:20 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection2.72.6
PPR projection3.23.0
Standard projection2.32.2
Rank this weekRB54RB55
Matchupat KCvs TB
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game2.04.6
Last season per game3.80.3
Snap share, last game17%20%
Trade value——