Jaylen WrightorRay Davis?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Ray Davis
Ray Davis outscores Jaylen Wright in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jaylen Wright comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Ray Davis, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Ray Davis projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: Ray Davis faces the Minnesota Vikings (12% fewer than average to RBs), Jaylen Wright faces the Detroit Lions (15% fewer than average to RBs). Jaylen Wright is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 1.3
- Ceiling
- 5.2
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 93%
- Floor
- 0.1
- Median
- 1.4
- Ceiling
- 6.0
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 90%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jaylen WrightRB, MIA, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Ray DavisRB, BUF, Mon, Nov 9, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 2.1 | 2.4 |
| PPR projection | 2.2 | 2.6 |
| Standard projection | 2.0 | 2.1 |
| Rank this week | RB59 | RB58 |
| Matchup | vs DET | at MIN |
| Injury | Questionable | None |
| 2026 points per game | 0.7 | 1.6 |
| Last season per game | 5.1 | 3.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 12% | 21% |
| Trade value | — | — |