Kaytron AllenorPatrick Ricard?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Kaytron Allen
Kaytron Allen outscores Patrick Ricard in 71% of simulations.
Patrick Ricard still comes out ahead in the other 29%, so Kaytron Allen is the better bet, not a sure thing. Kaytron Allen projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Patrick Ricard has the better matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles (3% more than average to RBs); Kaytron Allen faces the Detroit Lions (15% fewer than average to RBs). Kaytron Allen still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Kaytron Allen wins 59%; in Standard leagues, Kaytron Allen wins 78%. Kaytron Allen is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 0.6
- Ceiling
- 1.6
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- >99%
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 0.2
- Ceiling
- 0.7
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- >99%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Kaytron AllenRB, MIA, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Patrick RicardRB, NYG, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| PPR projection | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| Standard projection | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| Rank this week | RB74 | RB76 |
| Matchup | vs DET | at PHI |
| Injury | Questionable | None |
| 2026 points per game | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| Last season per game | — | 0.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 0% | 46% |
| Trade value | — | — |