Brandin CooksorJalen Royals?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Jalen Royals
Jalen Royals outscores Brandin Cooks in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Brandin Cooks comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Jalen Royals, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jalen Royals projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Jalen Royals has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (3% fewer than average to WRs); Brandin Cooks faces the Denver Broncos (16% fewer than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Jalen Royals wins 59%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.5
- Median
- 2.2
- Ceiling
- 6.1
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 89%
- Floor
- 0.6
- Median
- 2.4
- Ceiling
- 6.3
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 88%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Brandin CooksWR, SF, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET | Jalen RoyalsWR, KC, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 2.8 | 3.1 |
| PPR projection | 3.6 | 3.6 |
| Standard projection | 1.9 | 2.6 |
| Rank this week | WR109 | WR108 |
| Matchup | vs DEN | at LV |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | — | 3.1 |
| Last season per game | 3.1 | 0.7 |
| Snap share, last game | — | 19% |
| Trade value | — | — |