Brandin CooksorJalen Tolbert?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Brandin Cooks
Brandin Cooks outscores Jalen Tolbert in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jalen Tolbert comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Brandin Cooks, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 2.8 half-PPR points in Week 4. The matchups don't separate them: Brandin Cooks faces the Denver Broncos (16% fewer than average to WRs), Jalen Tolbert faces the Minnesota Vikings (14% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.5
- Median
- 2.2
- Ceiling
- 6.1
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 89%
- Floor
- 0.3
- Median
- 1.9
- Ceiling
- 6.6
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 88%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Brandin CooksWR, SF, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET | Jalen TolbertWR, MIA, Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 2.8 | 2.8 |
| PPR projection | 3.6 | 3.5 |
| Standard projection | 1.9 | 2.2 |
| Rank this week | WR109 | WR111 |
| Matchup | vs DEN | at MIN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | — | — |
| Last season per game | 3.1 | 3.1 |
| Snap share, last game | — | — |
| Trade value | — | — |