Brandin CooksorJared Wayne?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Jared Wayne
Jared Wayne outscores Brandin Cooks in 60% of simulations.
Brandin Cooks still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so Jared Wayne is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jared Wayne projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Jared Wayne has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (21% more than average to WRs); Brandin Cooks faces the Denver Broncos (16% fewer than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Jared Wayne wins 65%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.5
- Median
- 2.2
- Ceiling
- 6.1
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 89%
- Floor
- 1.2
- Median
- 2.8
- Ceiling
- 5.7
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 92%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Brandin CooksWR, SF, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET | Jared WayneWR, HOU, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 2.8 | 3.2 |
| PPR projection | 3.6 | 4.0 |
| Standard projection | 1.9 | 2.5 |
| Rank this week | WR109 | WR107 |
| Matchup | vs DEN | vs DAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | — | 2.8 |
| Last season per game | 3.1 | 3.0 |
| Snap share, last game | — | 61% |
| Trade value | — | — |