Britain CoveyorCharlie Jones?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Charlie Jones
Charlie Jones outscores Britain Covey in 57% of simulations.
Britain Covey still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Charlie Jones is the better bet, not a sure thing. Charlie Jones projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. The matchups don't separate them: Charlie Jones faces the Arizona Cardinals (6% more than average to WRs), Britain Covey faces the Los Angeles Rams (2% more than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Charlie Jones wins 51%; in Standard leagues, Charlie Jones wins 65%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 0.2
- Ceiling
- 0.8
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- >99%
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 0.2
- Ceiling
- 1.0
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- >99%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Britain CoveyWR, PHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Charlie JonesWR, NYG, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| PPR projection | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Standard projection | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Rank this week | WR152 | WR150 |
| Matchup | vs LAR | vs ARI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 0.0 | — |
| Last season per game | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 0% | — |
| Trade value | — | — |