Calvin RidleyorVan Jefferson?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Van Jefferson
Van Jefferson outscores Calvin Ridley in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Calvin Ridley comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Van Jefferson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Calvin Ridley projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Van Jefferson faces the New York Giants (8% more than average to WRs), Calvin Ridley faces the Houston Texans (2% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.9
- Median
- 3.5
- Ceiling
- 8.8
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 76%
- Floor
- 1.2
- Median
- 3.6
- Ceiling
- 8.3
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 77%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Calvin RidleyWR, TEN, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Van JeffersonWR, WAS, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 4.3 | 4.2 |
| PPR projection | 5.3 | 5.2 |
| Standard projection | 3.3 | 3.1 |
| Rank this week | WR68 | WR70 |
| Matchup | vs HOU | vs NYG |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 2.1 | — |
| Last season per game | 5.5 | 4.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 47% | — |
| Trade value | — | — |