Cedric TillmanorDyami Brown?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Cedric Tillman
Cedric Tillman outscores Dyami Brown in 56% of simulations.
Dyami Brown still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Cedric Tillman is the better bet, not a sure thing. Cedric Tillman projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Dyami Brown has the better matchup against the New York Giants (8% more than average to WRs); Cedric Tillman faces the Minnesota Vikings (18% fewer than average to WRs). Cedric Tillman still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.7
- Median
- 2.9
- Ceiling
- 7.9
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 81%
- Floor
- 0.3
- Median
- 2.3
- Ceiling
- 8.4
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 82%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Cedric TillmanWR, NO, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Dyami BrownWR, WAS, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 3.7 | 3.5 |
| PPR projection | 4.5 | 4.4 |
| Standard projection | 2.9 | 2.5 |
| Rank this week | WR77 | WR79 |
| Matchup | vs MIN | vs NYG |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | — | 2.5 |
| Last season per game | 4.1 | 3.6 |
| Snap share, last game | — | 56% |
| Trade value | — | — |