Cedric TillmanorMitchell Tinsley?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Cedric Tillman
Cedric Tillman outscores Mitchell Tinsley in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Mitchell Tinsley comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Cedric Tillman, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Cedric Tillman projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: Cedric Tillman faces the Minnesota Vikings (18% fewer than average to WRs), Mitchell Tinsley faces the Miami Dolphins (14% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.7
- Median
- 2.9
- Ceiling
- 7.9
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 81%
- Floor
- 0.8
- Median
- 2.8
- Ceiling
- 7.2
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 85%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Cedric TillmanWR, NO, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Mitchell TinsleyWR, CIN, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 3.7 | 3.6 |
| PPR projection | 4.5 | 4.2 |
| Standard projection | 2.9 | 3.0 |
| Rank this week | WR77 | WR78 |
| Matchup | vs MIN | at MIA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | — | 6.4 |
| Last season per game | 4.1 | 3.5 |
| Snap share, last game | — | 53% |
| Trade value | — | — |