Charlie JonesorLaJohntay Wester?

Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean LaJohntay Wester

LaJohntay Wester outscores Charlie Jones in 54% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Charlie Jones comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean LaJohntay Wester, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. LaJohntay Wester projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. The matchups don't separate them: LaJohntay Wester faces the Tennessee Titans (12% more than average to WRs), Charlie Jones faces the Arizona Cardinals (6% more than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, LaJohntay Wester wins 62%; in Standard leagues, Charlie Jones is the pick at 57%.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Charlie Jones
Floor
0.0
Median
0.2
Ceiling
1.0
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
>99%
LaJohntay Wester
Floor
0.0
Median
0.3
Ceiling
1.3
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
>99%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatCharlie JonesWR, NYG, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ETLaJohntay WesterWR, BAL, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection0.40.5
PPR projection0.40.7
Standard projection0.40.3
Rank this weekWR150WR149
Matchupvs ARIvs TEN
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game—1.5
Last season per game0.40.0
Snap share, last game—17%
Trade value——