Charlie JonesorTom Kennedy?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Tom Kennedy
Tom Kennedy outscores Charlie Jones in 55% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Charlie Jones comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean Tom Kennedy, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Tom Kennedy projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Charlie Jones has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (6% more than average to WRs); Tom Kennedy faces the Carolina Panthers (19% fewer than average to WRs). Tom Kennedy still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Tom Kennedy wins 61%; in Standard leagues, Charlie Jones is the pick at 57%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 0.2
- Ceiling
- 1.0
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- >99%
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 0.3
- Ceiling
- 1.3
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- >99%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Charlie JonesWR, NYG, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tom KennedyWR, DET, Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 0.4 | 0.5 |
| PPR projection | 0.4 | 0.7 |
| Standard projection | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| Rank this week | WR150 | WR148 |
| Matchup | vs ARI | at CAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | — | 0.0 |
| Last season per game | 0.4 | 0.9 |
| Snap share, last game | — | 0% |
| Trade value | — | — |