Colbie YoungorDeven Thompkins?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Colbie Young
Colbie Young outscores Deven Thompkins in 61% of simulations.
Deven Thompkins still comes out ahead in the other 39%, so Colbie Young is the better bet, not a sure thing. Colbie Young projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Deven Thompkins has the better matchup against the New England Patriots (1% fewer than average to WRs); Colbie Young faces the Miami Dolphins (14% fewer than average to WRs). Colbie Young still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Colbie Young wins 53%. Colbie Young is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 0.7
- Ceiling
- 1.6
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- >99%
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 0.4
- Ceiling
- 1.8
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- >99%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Colbie YoungWR, CIN, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Deven ThompkinsWR, LV, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| PPR projection | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| Standard projection | 0.4 | 0.5 |
| Rank this week | WR112 | WR113 |
| Matchup | at MIA | at NE |
| Injury | Questionable | None |
| 2026 points per game | 0.9 | — |
| Last season per game | — | 0.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 2% | — |
| Trade value | — | — |