Darnell MooneyorVan Jefferson?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Van Jefferson
Van Jefferson outscores Darnell Mooney in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Darnell Mooney comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Van Jefferson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 4.2 half-PPR points in Week 5. Darnell Mooney has the better matchup against the Washington Commanders (17% more than average to WRs); Van Jefferson faces the New York Giants (8% more than average to WRs). Van Jefferson still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.0
- Median
- 3.4
- Ceiling
- 8.2
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 79%
- Floor
- 1.2
- Median
- 3.6
- Ceiling
- 8.3
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 77%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Darnell MooneyWR, NYG, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Van JeffersonWR, WAS, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| PPR projection | 5.2 | 5.2 |
| Standard projection | 3.2 | 3.1 |
| Rank this week | WR69 | WR70 |
| Matchup | at WAS | vs NYG |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 3.4 | — |
| Last season per game | 4.4 | 4.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 55% | — |
| Trade value | — | — |