DeMario DouglasorVan Jefferson?

Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Van Jefferson

Van Jefferson outscores DeMario Douglas in 52% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: DeMario Douglas comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Van Jefferson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 4.2 half-PPR points in Week 5. Van Jefferson has the better matchup against the New York Giants (8% more than average to WRs); DeMario Douglas faces the Las Vegas Raiders (average to WRs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

DeMario Douglas
Floor
0.7
Median
3.3
Ceiling
9.0
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
76%
Van Jefferson
Floor
1.2
Median
3.6
Ceiling
8.3
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
77%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatDeMario DouglasWR, NE, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ETVan JeffersonWR, WAS, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection4.24.2
PPR projection5.25.2
Standard projection3.23.1
Rank this weekWR72WR70
Matchupvs LVvs NYG
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game3.2—
Last season per game5.04.0
Snap share, last game46%—
Trade value——