Deven ThompkinsorTai Felton?

Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Start Deven Thompkins

Deven Thompkins outscores Tai Felton in 56% of simulations.

Tai Felton still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Deven Thompkins is the better bet, not a sure thing. Deven Thompkins projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Deven Thompkins has the better matchup against the New England Patriots (1% fewer than average to WRs); Tai Felton faces the New Orleans Saints (9% fewer than average to WRs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Deven Thompkins
Floor
0.0
Median
0.4
Ceiling
1.8
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
>99%
Tai Felton
Floor
0.0
Median
0.3
Ceiling
1.3
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
>99%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatDeven ThompkinsWR, LV, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ETTai FeltonWR, MIN, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection0.70.5
PPR projection0.90.6
Standard projection0.50.3
Rank this weekWR113WR115
Matchupat NEat NO
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game—0.9
Last season per game0.70.3
Snap share, last game—59%
Trade value——