Deven ThompkinsorTom Kennedy?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Deven Thompkins
Deven Thompkins outscores Tom Kennedy in 56% of simulations.
Tom Kennedy still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Deven Thompkins is the better bet, not a sure thing. Deven Thompkins projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Tom Kennedy has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (7% more than average to WRs); Deven Thompkins faces the New England Patriots (1% fewer than average to WRs). Deven Thompkins still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 0.4
- Ceiling
- 1.8
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- >99%
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 0.3
- Ceiling
- 1.3
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- >99%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Deven ThompkinsWR, LV, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tom KennedyWR, DET, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| PPR projection | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| Standard projection | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Rank this week | WR113 | WR114 |
| Matchup | at NE | at ARI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | — | 0.0 |
| Last season per game | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| Snap share, last game | — | 1% |
| Trade value | — | — |