Dillon GabrielorKenny Pickett?
Week 10 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Dillon Gabriel
Dillon Gabriel outscores Kenny Pickett in 84% of simulations.
Kenny Pickett comes out ahead in the other 16%. Dillon Gabriel projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Dillon Gabriel faces the Houston Texans (7% fewer than average to QBs), Kenny Pickett faces the New Orleans Saints (3% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.1
- Median
- 0.2
- Ceiling
- 0.6
- Big game (25+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 12):
- >99%
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 0.1
- Ceiling
- 0.2
- Big game (25+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 12):
- >99%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Dillon GabrielQB, CLE, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Kenny PickettQB, CAR, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| PPR projection | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Standard projection | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Rank this week | QB38 | QB40 |
| Matchup | vs HOU | at NO |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | — | 1.8 |
| Last season per game | 7.0 | 1.3 |
| Snap share, last game | — | 23% |
| Trade value | — | — |