DJ MooreorRome Odunze?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Rome Odunze
Rome Odunze outscores DJ Moore in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: DJ Moore comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Rome Odunze, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. DJ Moore projects 0.5 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Rome Odunze faces the New York Jets (4% fewer than average to WRs), DJ Moore faces the New England Patriots (3% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.8
- Median
- 6.9
- Ceiling
- 17.8
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 44%
- Floor
- 2.1
- Median
- 6.7
- Ceiling
- 15.7
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 44%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | DJ MooreWR, BUF, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Rome OdunzeWR, CHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.6 | 8.1 |
| PPR projection | 10.3 | 9.7 |
| Standard projection | 7.0 | 6.5 |
| Rank this week | WR33 | WR36 |
| Matchup | vs NE | vs NYJ |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 9.4 | 6.0 |
| Last season per game | 8.7 | 10.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 64% | 85% |
| Trade value | — | — |