Emanuel WilsonorKenny Gainwell?
Week 5 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Kenny Gainwell
Kenny Gainwell outscores Emanuel Wilson in 60% of simulations.
Emanuel Wilson still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so Kenny Gainwell is the better bet, not a sure thing. Kenny Gainwell projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: Kenny Gainwell faces the Dallas Cowboys (11% more than average to RBs), Emanuel Wilson faces the San Francisco 49ers (8% more than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.6
- Median
- 5.0
- Ceiling
- 19.1
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 56%
- Floor
- 2.0
- Median
- 7.1
- Ceiling
- 18.1
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 42%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Emanuel WilsonRB, SEA, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 p.m. ET | Kenny GainwellRB, TB, Thu, Oct 8, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.9 | 8.7 |
| PPR projection | 8.3 | 10.4 |
| Standard projection | 7.4 | 6.9 |
| Rank this week | RB29 | RB25 |
| Matchup | vs SF | at DAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 9.1 | 4.3 |
| Last season per game | 5.1 | 10.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 60% | 43% |
| Trade value | — | — |