Greg DortchorMitchell Tinsley?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Mitchell Tinsley
Mitchell Tinsley outscores Greg Dortch in 55% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Greg Dortch comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean Mitchell Tinsley, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Mitchell Tinsley projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. The matchups don't separate them: Mitchell Tinsley faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (2% fewer than average to WRs), Greg Dortch faces the New England Patriots (3% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.4
- Median
- 2.2
- Ceiling
- 6.9
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 86%
- Floor
- 0.6
- Median
- 2.6
- Ceiling
- 7.1
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 84%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Greg DortchWR, BUF, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Mitchell TinsleyWR, CIN, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 3.2 | 3.4 |
| PPR projection | 3.9 | 3.9 |
| Standard projection | 2.4 | 2.9 |
| Rank this week | WR109 | WR107 |
| Matchup | vs NE | vs JAX |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 0.0 | — |
| Last season per game | 5.1 | 3.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 8% | — |
| Trade value | — | — |