Isaiah LikelyorKenyon Sadiq?

Week 5 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.

Our call

Lean Kenyon Sadiq

Kenyon Sadiq outscores Isaiah Likely in 51% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Isaiah Likely comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Kenyon Sadiq, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Kenyon Sadiq projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Isaiah Likely has the better matchup against the Washington Commanders (32% more than average to TEs); Kenyon Sadiq faces the Cleveland Browns (2% more than average to TEs). Kenyon Sadiq still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Isaiah Likely
Floor
1.2
Median
5.9
Ceiling
16.2
Big game (15+):
12%
Dud (under 5):
44%
Kenyon Sadiq
Floor
1.4
Median
6.1
Ceiling
17.0
Big game (15+):
13%
Dud (under 5):
42%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatIsaiah LikelyTE, NYG, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ETKenyon SadiqTE, NYJ, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection7.57.9
PPR projection9.69.4
Standard projection5.46.5
Rank this weekTE14TE10
Matchupat WASvs CLE
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game10.58.2
Last season per game4.0—
Snap share, last game66%69%
Trade value——