Jahan DotsonorVan Jefferson?

Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Van Jefferson

Van Jefferson outscores Jahan Dotson in 54% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Jahan Dotson comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Van Jefferson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 4.2 half-PPR points in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: Van Jefferson faces the New York Giants (8% more than average to WRs), Jahan Dotson faces the Baltimore Ravens (15% more than average to WRs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Jahan Dotson
Floor
0.5
Median
3.1
Ceiling
9.8
Big game (20+):
1%
Dud (under 6):
75%
Van Jefferson
Floor
1.2
Median
3.6
Ceiling
8.3
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
77%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatJahan DotsonWR, ATL, Sun, Oct 11, 8:20 p.m. ETVan JeffersonWR, WAS, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection4.24.2
PPR projection5.05.2
Standard projection3.53.1
Rank this weekWR71WR70
Matchupvs BALvs NYG
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game4.6—
Last season per game2.74.0
Snap share, last game63%—
Trade value——