Jalen CokerorJohn Metchie III?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Jalen Coker
Jalen Coker outscores John Metchie III in 68% of simulations.
John Metchie III still comes out ahead in the other 32%, so Jalen Coker is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jalen Coker projects 3.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Jalen Coker faces the New Orleans Saints (5% fewer than average to WRs), John Metchie III faces the New Orleans Saints (5% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.6
- Median
- 5.9
- Ceiling
- 15.4
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 50%
- Floor
- 0.7
- Median
- 3.1
- Ceiling
- 8.7
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 78%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jalen CokerWR, CAR, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | John Metchie IIIWR, CAR, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.7 | 4.0 |
| PPR projection | 9.5 | 5.1 |
| Standard projection | 6.0 | 2.9 |
| Rank this week | WR34 | WR58 |
| Matchup | at NO | at NO |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.4 | 4.1 |
| Last season per game | 6.7 | 4.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 82% | 29% |
| Trade value | — | — |