Jalen CokerorJohn Metchie III?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Jalen Coker
Jalen Coker outscores John Metchie III in 67% of simulations.
John Metchie III still comes out ahead in the other 33%, so Jalen Coker is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jalen Coker projects 4.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. The matchups don't separate them: Jalen Coker faces the Detroit Lions (20% more than average to WRs), John Metchie III faces the Detroit Lions (20% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 7.9
- Ceiling
- 19.8
- Big game (20+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 6):
- 37%
- Floor
- 1.0
- Median
- 4.3
- Ceiling
- 11.8
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 65%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jalen CokerWR, CAR, Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 p.m. ET | John Metchie IIIWR, CAR, Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.1 | 5.6 |
| PPR projection | 12.3 | 6.9 |
| Standard projection | 7.8 | 4.2 |
| Rank this week | WR23 | WR68 |
| Matchup | vs DET | vs DET |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 14.4 | 4.5 |
| Last season per game | 6.7 | 4.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 36% | 56% |
| Trade value | — | — |