Joe Milton IIIorStetson Bennett?

Week 6 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.

Our call

Start Stetson Bennett

Stetson Bennett outscores Joe Milton III in 55% of simulations.

Joe Milton III still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so Stetson Bennett is the better bet, not a sure thing. Both project 0.1 half-PPR points in Week 6. Stetson Bennett has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (15% more than average to QBs); Joe Milton III faces the Carolina Panthers (6% fewer than average to QBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Joe Milton III
Floor
0.0
Median
0.1
Ceiling
0.2
Big game (25+):
<1%
Dud (under 12):
>99%
Stetson Bennett
Floor
0.1
Median
0.1
Ceiling
0.2
Big game (25+):
<1%
Dud (under 12):
>99%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatJoe Milton IIIQB, PHI, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ETStetson BennettQB, LAR, Sun, Oct 18, 4:05 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection0.10.1
PPR projection0.10.1
Standard projection0.10.1
Rank this weekQB41QB40
Matchupvs CARvs ARI
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game—1.4
Last season per game2.6—
Snap share, last game—16%
Trade value——