Julius ChestnutorKalel Mullings?
Week 5 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Kalel Mullings
Kalel Mullings outscores Julius Chestnut in 72% of simulations.
Julius Chestnut still comes out ahead in the other 28%, so Kalel Mullings is the better bet, not a sure thing. Kalel Mullings projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: Kalel Mullings faces the Houston Texans (13% fewer than average to RBs), Julius Chestnut faces the Houston Texans (13% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 0.1
- Ceiling
- 0.2
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- >99%
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 0.2
- Ceiling
- 0.4
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- >99%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Julius ChestnutRB, TEN, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Kalel MullingsRB, TEN, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 0.1 | 0.2 |
| PPR projection | 0.1 | 0.2 |
| Standard projection | 0.1 | 0.2 |
| Rank this week | RB80 | RB78 |
| Matchup | vs HOU | vs HOU |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 0.0 | — |
| Last season per game | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 0% | — |
| Trade value | — | — |