Mike Washington Jr.orTyjae Spears?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Mike Washington Jr.
Mike Washington Jr. outscores Tyjae Spears in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Tyjae Spears comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Mike Washington Jr., and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Mike Washington Jr. projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Tyjae Spears has the better matchup against the Baltimore Ravens (1% more than average to RBs); Mike Washington Jr. faces the Kansas City Chiefs (12% fewer than average to RBs). Mike Washington Jr. still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Tyjae Spears is the pick at 54%; in Standard leagues, Mike Washington Jr. wins 62%. Tyjae Spears is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.4
- Median
- 4.4
- Ceiling
- 10.5
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 66%
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 4.4
- Ceiling
- 11.2
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 65%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Mike Washington Jr.RB, LV, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET | Tyjae SpearsRB, TEN, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 5.4 | 5.2 |
| PPR projection | 5.4 | 6.4 |
| Standard projection | 5.4 | 4.0 |
| Rank this week | RB39 | RB40 |
| Matchup | vs KC | at BAL |
| Injury | None | Questionable |
| 2026 points per game | 5.4 | 4.0 |
| Last season per game | — | 6.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 16% | 47% |
| Trade value | — | — |