Kimani VidalorMike Washington Jr.?

Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Lean Mike Washington Jr.

Mike Washington Jr. outscores Kimani Vidal in 51% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Kimani Vidal comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Mike Washington Jr., and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Kimani Vidal projects 0.3 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Mike Washington Jr. has the better matchup against the Kansas City Chiefs (12% fewer than average to RBs); Kimani Vidal faces the Seattle Seahawks (22% fewer than average to RBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Kimani Vidal
Floor
1.0
Median
4.4
Ceiling
11.9
Big game (20+):
2%
Dud (under 6):
64%
Mike Washington Jr.
Floor
1.4
Median
4.4
Ceiling
10.5
Big game (20+):
1%
Dud (under 6):
66%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatKimani VidalRB, LAC, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ETMike Washington Jr.RB, LV, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection5.75.4
PPR projection6.15.4
Standard projection5.25.4
Rank this weekRB37RB39
Matchupat SEAvs KC
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game1.35.4
Last season per game8.5—
Snap share, last game25%16%
Trade value——