Kenny GainwellorKimani Vidal?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Kenny Gainwell
Kenny Gainwell outscores Kimani Vidal in 56% of simulations.
Kimani Vidal still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Kenny Gainwell is the better bet, not a sure thing. Kenny Gainwell projects 1.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: Kenny Gainwell faces the Chicago Bears (12% fewer than average to RBs), Kimani Vidal faces the Houston Texans (5% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.8
- Median
- 6.5
- Ceiling
- 16.4
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 46%
- Floor
- 1.3
- Median
- 5.5
- Ceiling
- 14.7
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 54%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Kenny GainwellRB, TB, Sun, Nov 8, 8:20 p.m. ET | Kimani VidalRB, LAC, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.9 | 6.9 |
| PPR projection | 9.0 | 7.6 |
| Standard projection | 6.8 | 6.1 |
| Rank this week | RB32 | RB35 |
| Matchup | at CHI | vs HOU |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.9 | 5.8 |
| Last season per game | 10.9 | 8.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 50% | 46% |
| Trade value | — | — |