Kenny GainwellorRachaad White?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Rachaad White
Rachaad White outscores Kenny Gainwell in 55% of simulations.
Kenny Gainwell still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so Rachaad White is the better bet, not a sure thing. Rachaad White projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Kenny Gainwell has the better matchup against the Green Bay Packers (11% more than average to RBs); Rachaad White faces the Indianapolis Colts (3% more than average to RBs). Rachaad White still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.7
- Median
- 6.0
- Ceiling
- 15.3
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 50%
- Floor
- 2.6
- Median
- 7.0
- Ceiling
- 14.9
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 41%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Kenny GainwellRB, TB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Rachaad WhiteRB, WAS, Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 a.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.4 | 8.1 |
| PPR projection | 9.2 | 9.5 |
| Standard projection | 5.7 | 6.8 |
| Rank this week | RB33 | RB31 |
| Matchup | vs GB | vs IND |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 2.4 | 8.5 |
| Last season per game | 10.9 | 7.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 46% | 43% |
| Trade value | — | — |