Aaron JonesorRachaad White?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Aaron Jones
Aaron Jones outscores Rachaad White in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Rachaad White comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Aaron Jones, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Aaron Jones projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Aaron Jones faces the Green Bay Packers (8% more than average to RBs), Rachaad White faces the New York Giants (4% more than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.5
- Median
- 8.1
- Ceiling
- 15.3
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 30%
- Floor
- 2.8
- Median
- 7.6
- Ceiling
- 15.9
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 36%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Aaron JonesRB, MIN, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Rachaad WhiteRB, WAS, Thu, Nov 12, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.8 | 8.7 |
| PPR projection | 9.9 | 10.0 |
| Standard projection | 7.7 | 7.5 |
| Rank this week | RB28 | RB29 |
| Matchup | at GB | at NYG |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 9.4 | 9.0 |
| Last season per game | 8.7 | 7.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 35% | 56% |
| Trade value | — | — |