Omarion HamptonorTyler Allgeier?

Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Start Omarion Hampton

Omarion Hampton outscores Tyler Allgeier in 57% of simulations.

Tyler Allgeier still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Omarion Hampton is the better bet, not a sure thing. Omarion Hampton projects 0.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Omarion Hampton has the better matchup against the Houston Texans (5% fewer than average to RBs); Tyler Allgeier faces the Seattle Seahawks (15% fewer than average to RBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Omarion Hampton
Floor
3.5
Median
8.4
Ceiling
16.5
Big game (20+):
4%
Dud (under 6):
30%
Tyler Allgeier
Floor
1.6
Median
6.8
Ceiling
18.7
Big game (20+):
8%
Dud (under 6):
45%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatOmarion HamptonRB, LAC, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ETTyler AllgeierRB, ARI, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection9.48.8
PPR projection10.69.7
Standard projection8.27.9
Rank this weekRB24RB26
Matchupvs HOUat SEA
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game8.19.2
Last season per game13.36.8
Snap share, last game30%59%
Trade value——