J.K. DobbinsorTyler Allgeier?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start J.K. Dobbins
J.K. Dobbins outscores Tyler Allgeier in 60% of simulations.
Tyler Allgeier still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so J.K. Dobbins is the better bet, not a sure thing. J.K. Dobbins projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. J.K. Dobbins has the better matchup against the Carolina Panthers (20% more than average to RBs); Tyler Allgeier faces the Seattle Seahawks (15% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.3
- Median
- 8.7
- Ceiling
- 15.7
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 24%
- Floor
- 1.6
- Median
- 6.8
- Ceiling
- 18.7
- Big game (20+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 6):
- 45%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | J.K. DobbinsRB, DEN, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tyler AllgeierRB, ARI, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.6 | 8.8 |
| PPR projection | 10.2 | 9.7 |
| Standard projection | 9.0 | 7.9 |
| Rank this week | RB23 | RB26 |
| Matchup | at CAR | at SEA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.9 | 9.2 |
| Last season per game | 11.0 | 6.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 21% | 59% |
| Trade value | — | — |