Jonah ColemanorKenny Gainwell?

Week 8 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Lean Kenny Gainwell

Kenny Gainwell outscores Jonah Coleman in 53% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Jonah Coleman comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Kenny Gainwell, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Kenny Gainwell projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Kenny Gainwell has the better matchup against the Atlanta Falcons (4% more than average to RBs); Jonah Coleman faces the Kansas City Chiefs (13% fewer than average to RBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Jonah Coleman
Floor
1.9
Median
5.9
Ceiling
13.5
Big game (20+):
2%
Dud (under 6):
51%
Kenny Gainwell
Floor
1.8
Median
6.2
Ceiling
15.7
Big game (20+):
4%
Dud (under 6):
48%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatJonah ColemanRB, DEN, Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 p.m. ETKenny GainwellRB, TB, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection6.97.6
PPR projection7.79.0
Standard projection6.16.3
Rank this weekRB36RB30
Matchupvs KCvs ATL
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game7.14.7
Last season per game—10.9
Snap share, last game49%30%
Trade value——