Bam KnightorPierre Strong?
Week 7 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Pierre Strong
Pierre Strong outscores Bam Knight in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Bam Knight comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Pierre Strong, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Pierre Strong projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. The matchups don't separate them: Pierre Strong faces the Detroit Lions (12% fewer than average to RBs), Bam Knight faces the Denver Broncos (8% fewer than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Pierre Strong wins 60%; in Standard leagues, Bam Knight is the pick at 56%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.4
- Median
- 4.8
- Ceiling
- 11.6
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 62%
- Floor
- 2.1
- Median
- 5.3
- Ceiling
- 10.9
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 58%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Bam KnightRB, ARI, Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 p.m. ET | Pierre StrongRB, GB, Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 5.9 | 6.0 |
| PPR projection | 6.6 | 7.9 |
| Standard projection | 5.2 | 4.1 |
| Rank this week | RB36 | RB34 |
| Matchup | vs DEN | at DET |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.7 | 6.3 |
| Last season per game | 6.8 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 44% | 55% |
| Trade value | — | — |