Bam KnightorBrian Robinson?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Bam Knight
Bam Knight outscores Brian Robinson in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Brian Robinson comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Bam Knight, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Bam Knight projects 0.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Bam Knight has the better matchup against the New York Giants (15% more than average to RBs); Brian Robinson faces the New Orleans Saints (5% more than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.6
- Median
- 5.2
- Ceiling
- 12.0
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 58%
- Floor
- 1.5
- Median
- 4.7
- Ceiling
- 10.8
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 65%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Bam KnightRB, ARI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Brian RobinsonRB, ATL, Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.2 | 5.6 |
| PPR projection | 7.0 | 5.9 |
| Standard projection | 5.5 | 5.3 |
| Rank this week | RB36 | RB39 |
| Matchup | at NYG | at NO |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 2.4 | 7.3 |
| Last season per game | 6.8 | 3.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 6% | 27% |
| Trade value | — | — |