Bam KnightorBlake Corum?

Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Lean Bam Knight

Bam Knight outscores Blake Corum in 50% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Blake Corum comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Bam Knight, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Blake Corum projects 0.3 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Bam Knight has the better matchup against the New York Giants (15% more than average to RBs); Blake Corum faces the Philadelphia Eagles (3% more than average to RBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Bam Knight
Floor
1.6
Median
5.2
Ceiling
12.0
Big game (20+):
1%
Dud (under 6):
58%
Blake Corum
Floor
1.5
Median
5.1
Ceiling
13.5
Big game (20+):
3%
Dud (under 6):
57%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatBam KnightRB, ARI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ETBlake CorumRB, LAR, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection6.26.5
PPR projection7.06.9
Standard projection5.56.1
Rank this weekRB36RB35
Matchupat NYGat PHI
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game2.45.9
Last season per game6.87.0
Snap share, last game6%29%
Trade value——