Bhayshul TutenorRachaad White?

Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Start Bhayshul Tuten

Bhayshul Tuten outscores Rachaad White in 58% of simulations.

Rachaad White still comes out ahead in the other 42%, so Bhayshul Tuten is the better bet, not a sure thing. Bhayshul Tuten projects 1.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Bhayshul Tuten has the better matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals (19% more than average to RBs); Rachaad White faces the Indianapolis Colts (3% more than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Bhayshul Tuten wins 53%.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Bhayshul Tuten
Floor
2.9
Median
8.3
Ceiling
17.2
Big game (20+):
5%
Dud (under 6):
33%
Rachaad White
Floor
2.5
Median
6.9
Ceiling
14.9
Big game (20+):
3%
Dud (under 6):
41%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatBhayshul TutenRB, JAX, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ETRachaad WhiteRB, WAS, Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 a.m. ET
Half-PPR projection9.38.0
PPR projection9.99.3
Standard projection8.76.7
Rank this weekRB27RB31
Matchupat CINvs IND
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game12.88.5
Last season per game5.67.2
Snap share, last game48%43%
Trade value——