Bhayshul TutenorChuba Hubbard?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Chuba Hubbard
Chuba Hubbard outscores Bhayshul Tuten in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Bhayshul Tuten comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Chuba Hubbard, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Chuba Hubbard projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Bhayshul Tuten has the better matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals (19% more than average to RBs); Chuba Hubbard faces the Detroit Lions (11% fewer than average to RBs). Chuba Hubbard still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.2
- Median
- 9.1
- Ceiling
- 18.6
- Big game (20+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 6):
- 29%
- Floor
- 3.5
- Median
- 9.0
- Ceiling
- 18.6
- Big game (20+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 6):
- 29%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Bhayshul TutenRB, JAX, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Chuba HubbardRB, CAR, Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.1 | 10.5 |
| PPR projection | 10.8 | 11.7 |
| Standard projection | 9.5 | 9.3 |
| Rank this week | RB25 | RB21 |
| Matchup | at CIN | vs DET |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.8 | 16.2 |
| Last season per game | 5.6 | 7.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 48% | 84% |
| Trade value | — | 13 |