Bhayshul TutenorDerrick Henry?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Derrick Henry
Derrick Henry outscores Bhayshul Tuten in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Bhayshul Tuten comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Derrick Henry, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Derrick Henry projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Bhayshul Tuten has the better matchup against the Baltimore Ravens (5% fewer than average to RBs); Derrick Henry faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (23% fewer than average to RBs). Derrick Henry still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.9
- Median
- 11.1
- Ceiling
- 22.8
- Big game (20+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 6):
- 21%
- Floor
- 4.5
- Median
- 11.2
- Ceiling
- 23.0
- Big game (20+):
- 16%
- Dud (under 6):
- 19%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Bhayshul TutenRB, JAX, Thu, Nov 5, 8:15 p.m. ET | Derrick HenryRB, BAL, Thu, Nov 5, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.4 | 12.7 |
| PPR projection | 13.2 | 13.2 |
| Standard projection | 11.6 | 12.2 |
| Rank this week | RB16 | RB13 |
| Matchup | at BAL | vs JAX |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 15.8 | 16.3 |
| Last season per game | 5.6 | 16.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 50% | 45% |
| Trade value | 24 | 36 |