Bhayshul TutenorChase Brown?
Week 8 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Chase Brown
Chase Brown outscores Bhayshul Tuten in 56% of simulations.
Bhayshul Tuten still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Chase Brown is the better bet, not a sure thing. Chase Brown projects 1.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. The matchups don't separate them: Chase Brown faces the Tennessee Titans (1% more than average to RBs), Bhayshul Tuten faces the Indianapolis Colts (4% fewer than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Chase Brown wins 64%; in Standard leagues, Chase Brown wins 51%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.6
- Median
- 9.5
- Ceiling
- 19.0
- Big game (20+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 6):
- 26%
- Floor
- 4.8
- Median
- 10.5
- Ceiling
- 19.6
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 17%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Bhayshul TutenRB, JAX, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | Chase BrownRB, CIN, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.5 | 11.7 |
| PPR projection | 11.3 | 14.0 |
| Standard projection | 9.7 | 9.5 |
| Rank this week | RB18 | RB16 |
| Matchup | vs IND | vs TEN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 13.7 | 10.1 |
| Last season per game | 5.6 | 14.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 58% | 75% |
| Trade value | 12 | 19 |