Chase BrownorTony Pollard?
Week 8 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Tony Pollard
Tony Pollard outscores Chase Brown in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Chase Brown comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Tony Pollard, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Tony Pollard projects 1.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Tony Pollard has the better matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals (10% more than average to RBs); Chase Brown faces the Tennessee Titans (1% more than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Chase Brown is the pick at 54%; in Standard leagues, Tony Pollard wins 57%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.8
- Median
- 10.5
- Ceiling
- 19.6
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 17%
- Floor
- 4.0
- Median
- 11.3
- Ceiling
- 24.8
- Big game (20+):
- 19%
- Dud (under 6):
- 20%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Chase BrownRB, CIN, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tony PollardRB, TEN, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 11.7 | 13.1 |
| PPR projection | 14.0 | 14.0 |
| Standard projection | 9.5 | 12.2 |
| Rank this week | RB16 | RB13 |
| Matchup | vs TEN | at CIN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.1 | 11.8 |
| Last season per game | 14.6 | 10.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 75% | 75% |
| Trade value | 19 | 22 |